Do AEO Programs Facilitate Trade? An Empirical Assessment of the OIC Member States1 |
Author : N. Nergiz Dinçer, Ayça Tekin-Koru |
Abstract | Full Text |
Abstract :The Authorized Economic Operator (AEO) program comprises of comprehensive trade facilitation and security improvement measures that also serve the overarching objective of institutional development. The aim of the current paper is to analyze the impact of AEO program adoption on trade of the members of the Organization of Islamic Countries (OIC) for the period of 2000-2017 by using descriptive analysis, convergence analysis and gravity model. Gravity analysis spans the period of 2000-2017 for 132 countries of which 57 are the OIC Member States. Both the traditional and the structural gravity analyses show that AEO adoption by OIC member states has no impact on the bilateral trade of these countries. Our analysis suggests that there is a high level of convergence in terms of AEO implementation among the OIC Member States. However, there are a number of serious challenges both in the design and the implementation of the programs. This de jure-de facto differentiation stands as one of the main reasons in regards to the effectiveness of the AEO programs. |
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Public Perception of the Economic Role of the Government |
Author : Tuba Bircan, Deniz Nebioglu |
Abstract | Full Text |
Abstract :This study aims to measure the Turkey’s society’s preferences regarding the redistribution and to analyze how those preferences differ with respect to socio-demographic characteristics. Using factor analysis with International Social Survey Program the Role of Government Module data, it is shown that public preferences for economic policies relevant for redistribution of resources are two dimensional: Preferences for the role of government to ensure the inclusive institutions and social welfare and Preferences for the role of government to redistribute resources. For both dimensions, in line with the predictions of the median voter theory, it is shown that as income decreases, expectations from the government increase. |
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Relative Consumption and Life Satisfaction in Turkey |
Author : Devrim Dumludag, Özge Gökdemir, Ruut Veenhoven |
Abstract | Full Text |
Abstract :This paper examines the factual relationship between relative consumption and life-satisfaction. We add to the emerging literature on this matter with a survey study among the general public in Turkey. An unique survey was designed by the authors of this paper and applied in 12 regions in Turkey with a total of 3008 respondents.
For the degree of relative consumption, we found mixed correlations with life-satisfaction; no correlation with consumption compared to family and neighbors and a negative correlation with higher consumption seen among colleagues.
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A Machine Learning Model For Rise-Fall Prediction For The Istanbul Stock Exchange 100 Index |
Author : Murat Öztürkmen, Ercan Eren |
Abstract | Full Text |
Abstract :In this study, using machine learning algorithms, one of the artificial intelligence techniques that are becoming more and more widespread in finance, a machine learning model has been applied based on historical data for the rise and fall of Borsa Istanbul 100 index prices. When the applied machine learning model is compared with other studies in the literature, it has been observed that it has produced successful predictions in terms of derivation of explanatory variables, algorithm diversity at the algorithm selection stage and the prediction performance of the selected model. |
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Mexico: A Progressive Government Dilemma – Reforming the Political System and Facing an Epidemic Like No Other |
Author : Alicia Puyana Mutis |
Abstract | Full Text |
Abstract :The political tsunami prompted by the 1 July 2018 presidential elections shacked Mexican economic and political arena. One year into taking office, the pandemic exploded, encouraging a disjointed political opposition taking advantage of it to demand changes to the government progressive distributive program. Our research shows: first, the government´s economic policies adequacy for combating the pandemic, second, the fast spread the infection across Mexico´s and the country’s better results in health and economic indicators, than advanced countries; third, the solid political support for the president so far. |
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